Heksenteksten

Weblog van juni 2002 tot september 2006. Gestart in Belgiƫ, voortgeblogd in Zuid-Afrika en het laatste jaar vanuit de VS.

zaterdag, maart 18, 2006

Gratis analyse

Wie Heksenteksten leest, heeft geen krantenbijlages meer nodig. Insiders van over de hele wereld houden u op de hoogte met scherpe analyses van lokale gebeurtenissen.
Dit stuurde een insider uit Zuid-Afrika me door naar aanleiding van de gemeentelijke verkiezingen aldaar:

We have been having electricity cuts in Cape Town. Our electricity situation is sort of back to normal at present, but normal now is a very tentative system, which will in all likelihood lead to power cuts on and off over the next 6 months. The reason for the crisis is that one of two generators at Koeberg is down and needs repairing, and with that one down, there is no backup when the other generator trips, which happens form time to time on any electric grid, but perhaps more in SA. We have the cheapest electricity in the world, and have spread it, correctly in my opinion, to communities which previously did not have electricity, and also to other southern African countries. The result is that with the one genitor down, the electric lines are not able to convey sufficient electricity from upcountry into the Western Cape (they had never thought that we might be in this position). So now there is a crisis, with people unused to saving electricity, which is something we should probably always have done, and crisis plans to resolve the crisis, with huge increases in electricity to come.

The cuts, the poor administration by the previous ANC Mayor, and squabbles in the ANC in the Western Cape, have fed into the hands of the Democratic Alliance in the local Government elections on 1 March. So while generally the ANC got even stronger throughout the country at local government level, the DA got 42% of the vote in the Cape Town, with the ANC getting 38%, and the Independent Democrats, the only opposition party growing Nation wide, with 11% of the vote. However, the ID is adamant that they will not go into coalition with any party, which leaves both the ANC and DA with too few seats to govern. On Wednesday the DA won the election of Mayor (much to the surprise of the DA also), with all but one of the other seats in Cape Town supporting the DA, and that other seat (the PAC) abstaining. The situation is very brittle however. I felt that it was time for the ANC and the DA to govern Cape Town together, in the light of the fact that the agreement is brittle, and there will in all likelihood be a swing between the ANC and DA over many years to come, but these arch-enemies are not prepared to work together in Cape Town (despite both having entered into agreements with the demon, now defunct, Nationalist Party in years gone by). The ANC and DA have moved to jointly control 4 Municipalities where the party of a mad previous ANC Mayor in Beaufort West has obtained the same kind of support as the ANC, so other co-operation is possible when they put their minds to it.

This co-operation may be needed later in nay event. Time will tell.